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Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction)

Top Stocks to Beat Earnings

Symbol Company
Name
ESP Most Accurate
Estimate
Consensus
Estimate
Price Zacks Rank %Surprise
(lst Qtr.)
Reporting Date
AMZN Amazon.c 8.31% 1.66 1.54 225.94 1 25.44% 02/06/25
CVX Chevron 0.08% 2.23 2.23 161.47 3 1.62% 01/31/25
META Meta Pla 6.89% 7.30 6.83 612.77 3 16.18% 01/29/25
SHOP Shopify 23.08% 0.54 0.44 103.35 3 33.33% 02/11/25
COST Costco W 0.82% 4.11 4.07 943.19 2 0.79% 03/06/25

Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) looks to find companies that have recently seen positive earnings estimate revision activity. The idea is that more recent information is, generally speaking, more accurate and can be a better predictor of the future, which can give investors an advantage in earnings season.

The technique has proven to be very useful for finding positive surprises. In fact, when combining a Zacks Rank #3 or better and a positive Earnings ESP, stocks produced a positive surprise 70% of the time, while they also saw 28.3% annual returns on average, according to our 10 year backtest.

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See the Full List of Stocks To Beat Earnings

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Portfolios

Zacks #1 Rank Top Movers for Zacks #1 Rank Top Movers Zacks #1 Rank Top Movers

 

Company Symbol Price %Chg
OppFi Inc. OPFI 9.29 +13.02%
Cathay Paci... CPCAY 6.65 +7.46%
DXP Enterpr... DXPE 90.99 +7.36%
American Ai... AAL 18.38 +4.43%
BBVA Banco... BBAR 23.42 +4.32%

Focus List Top Performers

 

Symbol Price Added Current Price %Chg
MSFT 55.09 418.95 +660.48%
LRCX 10.05 74.65 +642.79%
AXON 97.85 570.00 +482.52%
SQ 17.25 82.54 +378.49%
UNH 120.33 520.69 +332.72%

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Zacks Equity Research

New Upgrades: WSM, MOS, QCOM, TSN, VTRS, NTR, SRE, AMP, WPM, OUT

  • Williamssonoma, Inc.
    (
    WSM)
    Upgraded: 01/17/25

    Continued enhancement of e-commerce channel, optimization of supply chain and the transformation of retail fleet by investing in new and remodeled stores are expected to drive growth.

  • The Mosaic Company
    (
    MOS)
    Upgraded: 01/17/25

    Mosaic should gain from higher demand for fertilizers. It should also benefit from cost-reduction actions. Efforts to lower debt are also encouraging.

  • Qualcomm Incorporated
    (
    QCOM)
    Upgraded: 01/17/25

    Qualcomm is positioned for solid long-term growth backed by leading position in 5G chipsets, innovative new products and technologies, expansion into ADAS, healthy traction in EDGE networking and a multi-year agreement with Apple.

  • Tyson Foods, Inc.
    (
    TSN)
    Upgraded: 01/15/25

    Tyson Foods' strategy is anchored in operational excellence, customer and consumer obsession and sustainability. The company prioritizes innovation, marketing and customer alliances to fuel growth.

  • Viatris Inc.
    (
    VTRS)
    Upgraded: 01/14/25

    Viatris has a broad and diverse product portfolio that includes brands and complex generics.

  • Nutrien Ltd.
    (
    NTR)
    Upgraded: 01/14/25

    Nutrien should gain from higher demand for crop nutrients and acquisitions. Cost actions and the adoption of its digital platform should also contribute to its performance.

  • Sempra Energy
    (
    SRE)
    Upgraded: 01/13/25

    Systematic investments in infrastructure development and regular dividend payments should attract more investors to choose Sempra Energy. Also, its progress in LNG projects is appreciating

  • Ameriprise Financial, Inc.
    (
    AMP)
    Upgraded: 01/13/25

    Ameriprise’s focus on core operations, launch of new products and services and AUM/AUA growth will likely support top-line growth. Enhanced capital distributions reflect a strong balance sheet.

  • Wheaton Precious Metals Corp.
    (
    WPM)
    Upgraded: 01/10/25

    Wheaton is poised to gain from its diversified portfolio of high-quality and long-life assets. Its strong cash position enables it to pay a competitive dividend and invest in accretive streams.

  • Outfront Media Inc.
    (
    OUT)
    Upgraded: 01/04/25

    OUTFRONT Media’s diversified portfolio, both geographical and industry-wise, strategic buyouts and digital billboard conversions augur well for long-term growth.

New Downgrades: NAVI, AN, JBHT, JOBY, KBH, SHW, R, YUM, STZ, ZBH

  • Navient Corporation
    (
    NAVI)
    Downgraded: 01/17/25

    Limited servicing fee growth opportunities and a high interest rate environment affect its margins, hampering Navient’s top line. Weak liquidity makes capital distributions seem unsustainable.

  • Autonation, Inc.
    (
    AN)
    Downgraded: 01/17/25

    High debt pile, stiff competition, rising SG&A expenses and declining margins in the new and used vehicle businesses raise concerns.  

  • J.b. Hunt Transport Services, Inc.
    (
    JBHT)
    Downgraded: 01/17/25

    Higher interest expense, lower segmental revenues and high debt weigh on JBHT's bottom line.

  • Joby Aviation, Inc.
    (
    JOBY)
    Downgraded: 01/17/25

    Distant profitability, high costs, risk of battery failure and stock price volatility represent major headwinds for Joby.

  • Kb Home
    (
    KBH)
    Downgraded: 01/16/25

    Cyclical business nature, higher construction, land and labor costs, and supply-related limitations are headwinds.

  • The Sherwinwilliams Company
    (
    SHW)
    Downgraded: 01/16/25

    Sherwin-Williams faces headwinds in the heavy equipment and transportation market. The slowdown in housing markets may also affect results. 

  • Ryder System, Inc.
    (
    R)
    Downgraded: 01/16/25

    Weaker market conditions in the rental and used vehicle sales weigh on Ryder’s bottom line.

  • Yum Brands, Inc.
    (
    YUM)
    Downgraded: 01/16/25

    High costs and an uncertain macro environment remain a concern for the company.

  • Constellation Brands Inc
    (
    STZ)
    Downgraded: 01/14/25

    Constellation Brands is witnessing softness in the wine & spirits business for a while now, due to challenging market dynamics for the wine & spirits categories.

  • Zimmer Biomet Holdings, Inc.
    (
    ZBH)
    Downgraded: 01/13/25

    Factors like macroeconomic uncertainties, pricing pressure and unfavorable currency fluctuations continues to adversely impact Zimmer Biomet's sales.

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